There is a technique from organisational psychology called a pre-mortem, and it is one of the few planning interventions with a genuinely good evidence base. Instead of asking what could go wrong — which people answer defensively and vaguely — you state that the thing has already failed and ask why. That single change of tense produces markedly more specific and more honest answers, because explaining a fact is a different cognitive task from predicting a risk.
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Name the goal and it will assume it failed.
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The past tense is the whole technique. It produces more specific answers than "what are the risks?" ever does.
They are ranked by plausibility given what you have described, not by how bad they would be.
Each is small now and impossible later. That asymmetry is the entire value of running this early.
This runs one on your goal. It takes the conditions and works out which failure stories are most plausible, in order, with the countermeasure for each.
The point is not pessimism. It is that the failures you can name in advance are almost all cheap to prevent now and expensive to fix in month seven.
This works something out and then forgets it. It cannot tell you whether the number moved, because it has no memory of the last time you ran it and no idea what you did in between. Every calculator on the internet has that limit, and if it has never bothered you then this one is yours for free for good.
EvyOS is the same structure with the work recorded against it. Send the result across and it becomes real goals, tasks or habits with their dates — then the next answer is computed from what actually happened rather than from what you remember typing.
Goals, projects, tasks, habits and skills in one system, with the work logged against what it belonged to.
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